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Modeling commuter modal shifts from car trips to cycling: Scenario construction and outcomes for Stockholm, Sweden
Swedish School of Sport and Health Sciences, GIH, Department of Sport and Health Sciences, Åstrand Laboratory of Work Physiology, The Research Unit for Movement, Health and Environment.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3547-425X
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(English)In: Journal of Transport Geography, ISSN 0966-6923, E-ISSN 1873-1236Article in journal (Refereed) Submitted
Abstract [en]

This article presents the construction and outcomes of scenarios modeling commuter modal shifts from car trips to cycling in the metropolitan region of Stockholm, the capital of Sweden. Utilizing existing models and databases, we establish a realistic study population for our scenarios of commuter modal shifts from car trips to cycling. In the two scenarios, car commuters that can travel to their workplace within 30 and 50 minutes of cycling shift commuting mode. Overall, car–bicycle modal shifts were 31.6% and 48.7%, respectively. However, there were considerable geographical differences. While a substantial number of new bicycle commuters appeared in all five macro-level subdivisions of the study area, modal shift was by far the highest among car commuters living in the Inner City and its immediate surroundings.

Keywords [en]
cycling, scenario modelling, potential, metropolitan area
National Category
Medical and Health Sciences
Research subject
Social Sciences/Humanities
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:gih:diva-5797OAI: oai:DiVA.org:gih-5797DiVA, id: diva2:1339535
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FAAPAvailable from: 2019-07-30 Created: 2019-07-30 Last updated: 2019-08-13Bibliographically approved

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Schantz, Peter

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